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The analysis and interpretation of trajectories and patterns of autism symptom development in children

https://doi.org/10.17749/2077-8333/epi.par.con.2026.259

Abstract

Background. Due to the high prevalence of autism spectrum disorders (ASD) and the dependence of prognosis on intervention time, the development of factor models for autistic symptoms in preschool childhood is an urgent area of research. Comparing autism symptoms multifactorial models obtained using structural equation modeling for preschoolers with autism of different age groups is valuable because it provides information that cannot be covered by studying a single age group.

Objective: To compare the factor patterns for ASD symptoms in children aged 3–4 and 5–7 years to identify autism development trajectories.

Material and methods. Since autism symptoms pattern changes as children develop, comparing factor models allows to identify age-related indicators and use more accurate diagnostic criteria adapted to each age group for improving sensitivity and specificity of early autism diagnosis and optimize corrective interventions. Within the years 2023–2024, 7-factor and 8-factor models for autism symptoms, respectively, were obtained in 3–4-year-old (n=294) and 5–6-year-old (n=374) ASD children. The data in both studies were collected by specialists who worked with the patients on a regular basis by filling out the online questionnaires.

Results. When comparing two autism factor models, it was found that the identified factor pattern, which includes three groups of symptoms for young children, was dramatically changed in older children. With age, the relationship between specific symptoms and the underlying factors has significantly increased and become more complex. For younger children, the identified 7-factor pattern consists of three unrelated groups of symptoms: communication problems (including factors such as emotional dysregulation, speech understanding, echolalia, alienation), persistence on sameness with sensory disintegration and hyperactivity/disinhibition. For older children, the 8-factor pattern has developed into three other groups of relatively independent but related symptoms: the verbal group (including factors of speech understanding and empathy), praxis disorders (including factors such as hyperactivity, emotional dysregulation, motor disorders) and sensory disintegration (including factors such as persistence on sameness, sensory disintegration and echolalia).

Conclusion. Speech and motor development are two lead symptoms that deserve special attention from specialists. By understanding how the pattern of ASD symptoms and factor load change throughout preschool age, researchers can improve existing diagnostic tools to increase their accuracy and effectiveness in detecting autism at different ages and develop targeted intervention strategies.

About the Authors

L. O. Tkacheva
Saint Petersburg State University
Russian Federation

Lyubov O. Tkacheva - PhD, Assoc. Prof.

7/9 Universitetskaya Emb., Saint Petersburg 199034

WoS ResearcherID G-4484-2015, Scopus Author ID 56516658600



A. D. Nasledov
Saint Petersburg State University
Russian Federation

Andrey D. Nasledov - PhD, Assoc. Prof.

7/9 Universitetskaya Emb., Saint Petersburg 199034

WoS ResearcherID K-1361-2014, Scopus Author ID 6506644008



O. V. Zashchirinskaia
Saint Petersburg State University; Dostoevsky Russian Christian Humanitarian Academy; Herzen Russian State Pedagogical University
Russian Federation

Oksana V. Zashchirinskaia - Dr. Sci. Psych., Prof.

7/9 Universitetskaya Emb., Saint Petersburg 199034; 15 Fontanka River Emb., Saint Petersburg 191011; 48 Moika River Emb., Saint Petersburg 191181

Scopus Author ID 56600705500



S. A. Miroshnikov
Saint Petersburg State University; Longitud LLC
Russian Federation

Sergey A. Miroshnikov - PhD.

7/9 Universitetskaya Emb., Saint Petersburg 199034; 83/4 Grazhdansky Ave., Saint Petersburg 195257

Scopus Author ID 57205473863



G. G. Avakian
Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University; Scientific and Practical Center for Pediatric Psychoneurology; Federal Center for Brain and Neurotechnology
Russian Federation

Georgy G. Avakyan - Dr. Sci. Med., Assoc. Prof.

1 bldg 7 Ostrovityanov Str., Moscow 117513; 74, Michurinsky Ave., Moscow 119602; 1 bldg 10 Ostrovityanov Str., Moscow 117513



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Supplementary files

1. Supplement 1. Online data collection questionnaire for children aged 3–4 years
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Type Исследовательские инструменты
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2. Supplement 2. Online data collection questionnaire for children aged 5–7 years
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3. Supplement 3. Distribution of items across factors in the 7-factor model of autism symptoms for children aged 3–4 years
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4. Supplement 4. Distribution of items across factors in the 8-factor model of autism symptoms for children aged 5–7 years
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Type Исследовательские инструменты
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For citations:


Tkacheva L.O., Nasledov A.D., Zashchirinskaia O.V., Miroshnikov S.A., Avakian G.G. The analysis and interpretation of trajectories and patterns of autism symptom development in children. Epilepsy and paroxysmal conditions. 2026;18(1):28-37. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17749/2077-8333/epi.par.con.2026.259

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ISSN 2077-8333 (Print)
ISSN 2311-4088 (Online)